ANC Eastern Cape conference indefinitely postponed amid court disputes and internal divisions:
The African National Congress (ANC) in the Eastern Cape has indefinitely postponed its long-awaited provincial conference, deepening uncertainty in one of the party’s most politically significant regions.
The delay comes amid unresolved organisational challenges. While no new date has been set, insiders say disputes over branch legitimacy, delegate accreditation, and internal appeals processes have once again stalled proceedings.
The conference, originally scheduled for this weekend, was halted on Thursday after the Eastern Cape High Court issued an interim order. The move followed complaints from a group of ANC members who raised concerns about irregularities leading up to the elective gathering.
Despite the court order, preparations continued, including the registration of delegates. This prompted the applicants to return to court urgently, arguing that those continuing with the process were in contempt.
The situation shifted on Saturday when provincial secretary Lulama Ngcukaitobi announced that the conference would be postponed indefinitely, rendering the urgent contempt application unnecessary. The matter was subsequently removed from the urgent court roll, with both sides reaching an agreement formalised by Judge Murray Lowe.
The Eastern Cape, often considered the ANC’s spiritual home, carries both symbolic and strategic weight. It has produced some of the party’s most prominent leaders and remains a key electoral stronghold. In recent years, however, the region has become a site of intense factional contestation, with rival structures frequently clashing over leadership slates and conference outcomes.
The legal matter is far from over. The case will continue through the normal court process, with a new hearing date expected.
US/Israel war against International Law:
As the US and Israeli strikes against Iran violate the foundations of international law, the economic and human costs will soar.
After three weeks of effective war, the hostilities have caused severe regional spillovers, thousands of deaths, the displacement of millions and a massive global energy crisis that continues to expand. If the implications are global, what is the status of the US and Israeli strikes from the standpoint of international law?
The modern legal order is based on the United Nations Charter (1945), the Geneva Conventions, the Rome Statute (1998) and customary law derived from the Nuremberg trials. The key rules include the prohibition of aggressive war, the protection of civilians and individual criminal responsibility for war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide. Force is allowed only in the case of self-defence and UN security council authorisation.
The US and Israeli strikes have already violated most of these rules.
War of aggression
Article 2(4) of the UN Charter prohibits member states from threatening or using force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state. It was violated on February 28, when the US and Israel launched joint strikes against Iran.
Typically, the war was launched when peace talks in Oman were advancing towards a successful conclusion.
In the absence of strategic objectives and an exit strategy, the US has framed the actions as a campaign to dismantle “the Iranian regime’s security apparatus”.
These efforts date back to the US and Israel’s 12-day war against Iran in July 2025, when Masoud Pezeshkian, the new reform-minded Iranian president, sought talks to end the conflict with the US and Israel. That was not in line with the “new Middle East” envisioned by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his far-right cabinet.
The UN Charter’s prohibition against force is not absolute, with key exceptions being self-defence (Article 51) and actions approved by the security council.
Yet no such threat existed before the US and Israeli strikes. On March 17 2026, Joe Kent, the director of the US National Counterterrorism Center, resigned in protest against the ongoing US-led war in Iran. Kent said in no uncertain terms that “Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation.”
This is an illegal war of aggression, instigated by leaders who have been (or should be) like Prime Minister Netanyahu, charged with war crimes and crimes against humanity.
Pre-emptive war doctrine
To legitimise the unjustifiable, Washington has resorted to pre-emptive justifications. In this regard, the US and Israeli war against Iran is the latest link in the 25-year effort to justify power politics through preventive wars.
Since the George W Bush administration’s 2002 security doctrine, US administrations have stressed pre-emption as a central strategic instrument. While Democratic leaders (Barack Obama, Joe Biden) have been more moderate in rhetoric, they have co-opted the same ideas.
Relying on force to prevent future threats, preventive war doctrines are often cited as violating international law because they bypass the strict legal requirements for the use of force established in the UN Charter.
Unilateral preventive war is a threat to the principle of state sovereignty because it allows one nation to judge the “intentions” of another without objective proof of an impending attack. Setting a dangerous precedent, it incentivises other nations to use similar pretexts for their own “preventive” attacks, potentially leading to global instability.
International law allows for pre-emptive strikes in cases of “imminent” danger. But US strategy improperly expands this to include preventive wars against threats that are not yet fully formed or do not exist — as in the cases of the 2003 Iraq war and the 2025 and 2026 wars involving Iran.
Targeted assassinations
The targeted assassination of Iranian leaders is a serious violation of international law, especially when conducted outside an active, declared war zone. Such killings violate the prohibition on the use of force against another state’s territorial integrity and political independence.
Outside active hostilities, international human rights law applies. Under this framework, the arbitrary deprivation of life is prohibited. Targeted killings are extrajudicial acts for which the acting state is responsible.
In the context of conflict, such killings can violate international humanitarian law principles, including distinction and proportionality. Assassinations of state officials often violate the 1973 Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Crimes Against Persons Under International Protection.
Precedents include the killing of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani, a senior figure in Iran’s leadership, who was assassinated in a drone strike in Baghdad in January 2020, ordered by President Donald Trump.
From the standpoint of international law, it was an unlawful attack, as noted by Ben Ferencz, a US prosecutor in the Nuremberg trials and a pioneer of international law. After Soleimani’s killing, The New York Times published Ferencz’s letter denouncing the assassination as an “immoral action [and] a clear violation of national and international law”.
In their first joint strikes against Iran, the US and Israel assassinated the 87-year-old Ali Khamenei, the supreme leader of Iran. Demonised in the West, Khamenei supported Iran’s nuclear programme for civilian use. Already in the mid-1990s, he famously issued a fatwa against the acquisition, development and use of nuclear weapons.
The assassination of Khamenei was another blatant violation of international law. It was also part of a broader strategy to eliminate moderate leaders, whose absence is then used to justify replacing diplomacy with military campaigns.
Crimes against humanity, forced displacement
These crimes are defined in the Rome Statute (Article 7) as widespread or systematic attacks on civilians. Allegations arise when strikes target civilian infrastructure, create economic strangulation, cause mass displacement and impose siege conditions.
A continuity argument — “what we first saw in Gaza is now spreading to Iran and, due to spillovers, across the region” — exists because similar patterns can be identified, including blockades, disproportionate force and collective punishment.
The stated efforts at regime change to undermine Iran and fragment the Shia state suggest that the boundary between cultural genocide and broader destabilisation is increasingly blurred.
Allegations of ethnic cleansing, relying on deliberate forced displacement, are likely to grow. While ethnic cleansing is not a formal treaty crime, it is recognised in jurisprudence and rests on forced population removal.
Israel’s expanding buffer zone in southern Lebanon, extending roughly 3km to 14km north of the Blue Line demarcation, is premised on demographic engineering. In Iran, objectives to fragment the state and instigate inter-ethnic divisions are also predicated on identity politics.
The US and Israeli strikes have caused the displacement of 3.5 million people in Iran and more than one million in Lebanon, with up to 22 000 killed or wounded in Iran and another 3 600 in Lebanon.
Collective punishment, economic warfare
Combined with illicit strikes, Washington’s decades-long sanctions against Iran — most of which are unilateral — resemble economic warfare based on collective punishment.
Such combinations of economic sanctions and military strikes, particularly when unlawful, raise serious issues under humanitarian and human rights law. In Gaza and Iran, unilateral sanctions have caused mass suffering, violating international law.
Since the early 1970s, when Beirut was still called the “Paris of the Middle East”, Israel’s wars against Palestinians have destabilised Lebanon’s fragile ethnic balance, pushing the country to the brink of default — a fate Prime Minister Netanyahu would like Iran to share.
There is a clear continuity from the Gaza war — carried out by Israel with support from the US-led West, alongside International Court of Justice (ICJ) provisional measures and International Criminal Court (ICC) debates — to the US and Israeli strikes against Iran.
The common features include an expanded self-defence doctrine, weak enforcement of humanitarian law, selective application of international law and, ultimately, the US veto in the security council.
The more these violations are permitted, the greater the economic cost, the more severe the destruction and the higher the human toll.
That is why multilateral cooperation — across political differences — and the enforcement of international law are urgently needed.
Dr Dan Steinbock is an internationally recognised strategist of the multipolar world and the founder of Difference Group. He has served at the India, China and America Institute (US), Shanghai Institutes for International Studies (China) and the EU Center (Singapore). For more, see https://www.differencegroup.net
The original version was published by Informed Comment (US) on 23 March 2026.
Motsepe leads the pack in new poll:
A new Social Research Foundation poll places businessperson Dr Patrice Motsepe as the most favourably viewed among leading ANC leaders, ahead of secretary-general Fikile Mbalula and deputy president Paul Mashatile.
The poll, conducted in March among a sample of 2 222 respondents, shows Motsepe has a 33.1% favourability rating, compared with 22.0% for Mbalula and 11.4% for Mashatile. His negative rating stands at 22.3%, lower than Mbalula’s 37.7% and Mashatile’s 35.0%.
Among respondents, 20.7% indicated they were unfamiliar with Motsepe, compared with 11.0% for Mbalula and 20.3% for Mashatile.
Motsepe had 47% support among ANC voters, compared with 19% for Mbalula and 16% for Mashatile. Among all voters, Motsepe has 39% support and Mbalula 14%.
The polling was conducted before the ANC’s next elective conference, where leadership positions are expected to be contested.
Commenting on the poll’s findings, Social Research Foundation analyst Frans Cronje said: “Motsepe’s favourability score is equivalent to the joint favourability scores of his rivals and his negative score is low. Should his camp put a serious campaign behind those numbers, no other ANC candidate could possibly hope to catch him.”
Motsepe has dismissed speculation about entering politics. “I am not interested in political office,” he said.
His name has, however, featured in political discussions and mobilisation efforts within ANC structures. This includes activity linked to the PM27 Savumelana campaign, which has sought to mobilise support in the party before the upcoming elections.
In response to the Mail & Guardian’s questions, campaign organiser Ishmael Mnisi said: “Dr Patrice Motsepe has no direct involvement in the PM27 campaign. “The PM27 campaign is a broad-based, grassroots initiative committed to the renewal of the ANC and the advancement of South Africa.”
Mnisi said Motsepe’s record in business, philanthropy and nation-building reflected “the credibility and visionary leadership required to guide both the ANC and the country”.
The campaign, he said, was not advancing a leadership contest. “I must emphasise that the campaign for Dr Motsepe’s candidacy will launch only once the ANC formally opens the lobbying process for the 2027 leadership contest. Until then, all PM27 campaign activities and communications are directed solely toward supporting the ANC’s local government election campaign.”
Mnisi said the campaign was solely funded by individual members “who voluntarily contribute from their own resources”.
He said structures were being developed at the provincial level.
Mnisi noted that the PM27 campaign was the only recognised structure coordinating support for Motsepe. The campaign was aware of individuals misrepresenting themselves as part of the initiative, he added. “We categorically distance ourselves from such actions and strongly advise ANC members and the public to be vigilant.”
The ANC has cautioned members against engaging in campaigning before its next elective conference. The party has also stated that leadership discussions should take
place within party processes. The warning follows political activity linked to leadership positioning across provinces, including mobilisation efforts and messaging aligned to potential candidates.
Mbalula, who serves as ANC secretary-general, has rejected claims that external actors, including Russian-linked interests, are seeking to shape internal party dynamics and influence political direction.
He has also rejected claims linking him to corruption, fraud and money laundering. Advocacy organisations have referred the allegations to law enforcement authorities.
Mbalula said he had neither been charged nor prosecuted.
Mashatile has also faced scrutiny after allegations raised in testimony before a commission of inquiry linked his name to individuals involved in disputed dealings.
Mashatile said he did not know the individuals and denied involvement. He has also denied allegations relating to contracts linked to his family.
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